Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3682
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3682 · SAT → DFW
departs 7:56 PM CT · arrives 9:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.13 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.