Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3737
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
MQ 3737 · ABI → DFW
departs 7:13 AM CT · arrives 8:22 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28 10%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ABI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
7am departures from ABI are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ABI (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.27 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.