Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3760
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3760 · DFW → TRI
departs 7:14 PM CT · arrives 10:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at TRI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TRI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at TRI that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.02 in
TRI (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.