Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3849
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3849 · DFW → CID
departs 1:32 PM CT · arrives 3:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at CID more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CID?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Arrivals into CID at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip none
CID (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.