Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3860
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3860 · LBB → DFW
departs 7:55 PM CT · arrives 9:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 39%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±1 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LBB that day
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LBB (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.11 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.