Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3889
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MQ 3889 · MTY → DFW
departs 6:16 PM CST · arrives 9:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MTY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MTY (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.