Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3968 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

MQ 3968 · DFW → TYR

departs 8:57 AM CT · arrives 9:47 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYR?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ TYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3968 · DFW → TYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYR?