Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1166
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
MX 1166 · MCO → HSV
departs 8:20 AM ET · arrives 9:17 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
MX's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
MCO is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 1,600 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.12 in
HSV (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.