Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1404 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

MX 1404 · CAK → CHS

departs 8:24 PM ET · arrives 10:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CHS at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CAK

↓ CAK usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CAK (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1404 · CAK → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?