Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1556
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MX 1556 · BTV → RSW
departs 6:42 PM ET · arrives 10:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave BTV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BTV
↓
BTV usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BTV (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.