Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1621
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
MX 1621 · ACY → RSW
departs 9:43 AM ET · arrives 12:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave ACY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
MX's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ACY
↓
ACY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ACY (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.