Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1669
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MX 1669 · TPA → BDL
departs 10:22 AM ET · arrives 1:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 11%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at TPA that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
MX's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL
↓
BDL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.06 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.