Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 211
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MX 211 · SNA → PVU
departs 3:08 PM PT · arrives 5:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at PVU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVU?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at PVU that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
PVU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.