Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 2211
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
MX 2211 · TPA → CHS
departs 1:35 PM ET · arrives 3:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28 9%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 9%
Sat 10/31 8%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at CHS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CHS?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
TPA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.06 in
CHS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.