Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 2966 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

MX 2966 · RSW → PVD

departs 10:21 AM ET · arrives 1:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PVD?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MX's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 10am departures from RSW are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 2966 · RSW → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?