Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 537
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
MX 537 · RSW → BDL
departs 10:16 AM ET · arrives 1:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
MX's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↓
10am departures from RSW are usually not late
↓
BDL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.