Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 747
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MX 747 · CAK → RSW
departs 5:11 PM ET · arrives 8:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CAK
↓
CAK usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CAK (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.