Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 808
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MX 808 · EYW → TPA
departs 12:01 PM ET · arrives 1:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
EYW is prone to delays
↑
MX's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.