Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 848
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MX 848 · MCO → GPT
departs 6:14 PM ET · arrives 7:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±8 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at GPT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to GPT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MCO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GPT
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
GPT (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,567 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.