Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 849
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MX 849 · GPT → MCO
departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 10:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MCO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GPT
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GPT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,567 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.