Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 9704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
MX 9704 · CHS → MCO
departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±7 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from CHS are often late
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS
Weather at each end
CHS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.