Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5191 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5191 · PHL → YYZ

departs 7:47 PM ET · arrives 9:26 PM EDT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5191 · PHL → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?