Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5276 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5276 · DFW → SDF

departs 2:04 PM CT · arrives 5:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SDF?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8.33333 mi Precipnone

SDF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5276 · DFW → SDF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SDF?