Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5306 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5306 · DFW → GNV

departs 6:47 PM CT · arrives 10:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at GNV more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GNV?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into GNV at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.02 in

GNV (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5306 · DFW → GNV

Odds over time

How late will it get to GNV?