Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5367 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

OH 5367 · PHL → DTW

departs 4:57 PM ET · arrives 6:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5367 · PHL → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?