Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5471 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5471 · CHA → DFW

departs 8:04 PM ET · arrives 9:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CHA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5471 · CHA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?