Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5471 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5471 · DFW → CHA

departs 4:47 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.02 in

CHA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5471 · DFW → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?