Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5532 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5532 · MSN → PHL

departs 5:31 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from MSN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ MSN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

PHL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5532 · MSN → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?