Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5559 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5559 · DFW → ROA

departs 6:58 PM CT · arrives 10:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±5 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ROA?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ROA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.02 in

ROA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5559 · DFW → ROA

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROA?