Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3300
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 3300 · SAN → AUS
departs 2:12 PM PT · arrives 7:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.