Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 3401 · BUR → STS
departs 6:58 AM PT · arrives 8:32 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↑
STS is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at STS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.