Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3489
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 3489 · SAN → AUS
departs 8:00 AM PT · arrives 1:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.