OO 3805 · OAJ → ATL

departs 2:17 PM ET · arrives 3:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OAJ (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3805 · OAJ → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?