Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Thursday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3812 SCHEDULED

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OO 3812 · LAX → SMF

departs 12:05 PM PT · arrives 1:32 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SMF?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SMF (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3812 · LAX → SMF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SMF?