Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4072
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
OO 4072 · YYC → SLC
departs 6:38 AM MDT · arrives 8:53 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28 41%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 7%
Sat 10/31 8%
Sun 11/1 9%
Mon 11/2 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.