Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 4101 · IND → AUS
departs 11:34 AM ET · arrives 1:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 15%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.