Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4113
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
OO 4113 · SLC → YYC
departs 8:54 PM MT · arrives 11:08 PM MDT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28 11%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 9%
Sat 10/31 5%
Sun 11/1 10%
Mon 11/2 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at YYC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YYC?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
YYC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 4,900 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.