Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4166
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
OO 4166 · DTW → ATW
departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 4:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Wed 10/28 14%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 21%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
Arrivals into ATW at that hour are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ATW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.