OO 4681 · IAH → MAF

departs 9:57 PM CT · arrives 11:46 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 533 ft, visibility down to 1.66667 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MAF that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ MAF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MAF (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling533 ft Visibility1.66667 mi Precip0.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4681 · IAH → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?