Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Thursday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4933 SCHEDULED

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OO 4933 · DSM → ORD

departs 1:58 PM CT · arrives 3:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4933 · DSM → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?