OO 4941 · DFW → ABQ

departs 2:38 PM CT · arrives 3:35 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.02 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4941 · DFW → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?