Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4990
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 4990 · ORD → MKE
departs 1:19 PM CT · arrives 2:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 40%
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.