OO 5004 · DFW → SGF

departs 5:51 PM CT · arrives 7:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±4 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SGF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5004 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?