OO 5012 · HOU → DFW

departs 2:06 PM CT · arrives 3:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5012 · HOU → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?