Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5070
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
OO 5070 · ORD → LAF
departs 12:20 PM CT · arrives 2:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAF more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at LAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAF?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAF
↓
LAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAF (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.