Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 5073 · VCT → IAH
departs 5:27 PM CT · arrives 6:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave VCT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from VCT are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at VCT
Weather at each end
VCT (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.