OO 5105 · ORD → EAR

departs 3:37 PM CT · arrives 5:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at EAR more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EAR?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Arrivals into EAR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EAR (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,767 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5105 · ORD → EAR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EAR?