Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5341
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Today
OO 5341 · SFO → TUS
departs 7:04 PM PT · arrives 9:26 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SFO is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.