OO 5476 · IAH → AMA

departs 8:37 PM CT · arrives 10:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

AMA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5476 · IAH → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?