Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5503
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 5503 · EUG → SFO
departs 4:07 PM PT · arrives 6:14 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 51% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EUG
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.